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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| korda77 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4211–3532, n=7743) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $202K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #371 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (39 of 53 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer ±0 pts, n=620 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 4526 at avg 70¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 12% of 985) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 47% of 260) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 65% of 330) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 65% (won 95% of 2951) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | korda77 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1 | — | No $102K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3 | — | No $24K | — |