← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lug | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (1896–1560, n=3456) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $67K | $5.8M | $11.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #876 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (24 of 32 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=166 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 3622 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 15% of 357) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 45% of 1182) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 56% of 1397) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 84% of 686) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lug | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $31K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $507 | — | Yes $172K | — |