← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | 00gringo00 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (36–19, n=55) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | -$862K | $3.5M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 30% (3 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI −8% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 75% of 4) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 55% of 20) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 74% of 27) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | milkteaboba | 00gringo00 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.0K | — | — | No $250K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $979 | — | — | Yes $64K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $34K | — | — | No $292K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $24 | — | — | Yes $32K |