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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (38–19, n=57) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (10–10, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | -$857K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 90% (149 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI −8% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 75% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 55% of 20) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 74% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.