← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (35–18, n=53) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.2M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (6 of 14 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=40 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 50 at avg 68¢, ROI −9% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 67% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 58% of 19) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 77% of 26) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | milkteaboba | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.9K | — | — | No $252K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $952 | — | — | Yes $80K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $170 | — | — | Yes $3.6K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $108 | — | — | Yes $120 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | — | Yes $171K |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $43 | — | — | Yes $56K |