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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
myxiRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)68% (382–179, n=561)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$22K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #603PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)64% (21 of 33 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −13 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won70% of 497 at avg 69¢, ROI +4%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 25% of 28)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 49% of 68)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 60% of 119)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 84% of 282)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmyxiRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $4——Magic $24K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228—Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161—Magic $13K