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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | NOO-Yes | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 38% (5–8, n=13) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | -$14K | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #113 | was PM monthly #417 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #54 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (74 of 101 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 57% (30 of 53 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 42% of 12 at avg 38¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 50% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 17% (won 50% of 2) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 25% (won 67% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | NOO-Yes | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | T1 $928 | — | Bilibili Gaming $248K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $48K | — | Bilibili Gaming $153K |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $45K | Timberwolves $44K | — |