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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) | 47% (14178–15785, n=29963) | 62% (358–220, n=578) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $14.8M | $322K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (91 of 127 open) | 53% (19 of 36 open) | 81% (51 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 615 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 46% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 95% of 150) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9M | — | Yes $6.1K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $1.4M | — | No $5.3K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $992K | — | No $1.9K |