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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)65% (892–472, n=1364)50% (15178–15196, n=30374)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)85% (5238–893, n=6131)
Consensus PnL$4.6M$3.1M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #59PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #671
Sides with the consensus78% (39 of 50 open)50% (63 of 127 open)56% (99 of 177 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaRN1youcanbuythisbot
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1KNo $5.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5K—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3Under $169—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $22Over $112—
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $96Under $2.4K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—UMass $540UMass $1.0K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $619Lakers $3—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $28Under $147—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $4Pelicans $135—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $3Pelicans $125—
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $82Eastern Michigan $4—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $69Under $7—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $2Suns $6—