Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
Resolved No. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Yes 29%
$31.9K
$-12.0K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 22 top traders (27%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 51¢ | $4.7K | $9.3K | +$4.5K | 49% 14598-15343 (29941) |
 RN1 | Noavg 51.6¢ | $4.0K | $5.9K | +$1.9K | 53% 60903-53272 (114175) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 65.6¢ | $6.0K | $4.7K | $-1.3K | 51% 25463-24164 (49627) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 50.1¢ | $2.3K | $4.6K | +$2.3K | 50% 28246-28129 (56375) |
 oieshfn345 | Noavg 57.4¢ | $2.8K | $4.0K | +$1.2K | 58% 2027-1498 (3525) |
 VeryLucky888 | Noavg 49.3¢ | $783.41 | $1.4K | -$1.63 | 58% 46176-33333 (79509) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 82.6¢ | $644.34 | $779.75 | +$135.41 | 50% 1278-1273 (2551) |
CA Cannae | Noavg 50.4¢ | $340.68 | $676.01 | +$335.33 | 53% 16611-14768 (31379) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 57.9¢ | $128.92 | $222.5 | +$93.58 | 52% 1335-1256 (2591) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 77.4¢ | $99.83 | $129 | +$29.17 | 51% 1334-1307 (2641) |
DI dips.<$100 | Noavg 90.4¢ | $41.07 | $45.42 | +$4.35 | 47% 10541-12058 (22599) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 83.7¢ | $34.47 | $41.18 | +$6.71 | 39% 5762-9001 (14763) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 81.8¢ | $32.71 | $40 | +$7.29 | 53% 1379-1231 (2610) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $10.52 | $13.2 | +$2.68 | 47% 11568-12989 (24557) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $2 | $4 | +$2 | 51% 37347-36602 (73949) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Yesavg 51.2¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 50% 21060-21316 (42376) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $15.72 | — | -$15.72 | 53% 23051-20286 (43337) |
DE DelidelaDeleCTR | Yesavg 49¢ | $38.7K | — | $-19.0K | 46% 37-43 (80) |
 claudionetotrader | Noavg 96.8¢ | $244.64 | — | +$3.86 | 55% 1378-1115 (2493) |
AL alvahunterCTR | Yesavg 54¢ | $925.93 | — | -$500 | 39% 24-38 (62) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $15 | — | -$4.2 | 65% 5230-2848 (8078) |
 rayvanmechelenCTR | Yesavg 53¢ | $1.5K | — | -$778.3 | 73% 2465-924 (3389) |
Invested
$4,723.11
Value
$9.3K
PnL
+$4.5K
Record
49%
14598-15343 (29941)
RN1Invested
$3,997.41
Value
$5.9K
PnL
+$1.9K
Record
53%
60903-53272 (114175)
Invested
$6,035.25
Value
$4.7K
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
51%
25463-24164 (49627)
Invested
$2,330.26
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$2.3K
Record
50%
28246-28129 (56375)
oieshfn345Invested
$2,799.36
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
58%
2027-1498 (3525)
VeryLucky888Invested
$783.41
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$1.63
Record
58%
46176-33333 (79509)
Invested
$644.34
Value
$779.75
PnL
+$135.41
Record
50%
1278-1273 (2551)
Invested
$340.68
Value
$676.01
PnL
+$335.33
Record
53%
16611-14768 (31379)
Invested
$128.92
Value
$222.5
PnL
+$93.58
Record
52%
1335-1256 (2591)
Invested
$99.83
Value
$129
PnL
+$29.17
Record
51%
1334-1307 (2641)
Invested
$41.07
Value
$45.42
PnL
+$4.35
Record
47%
10541-12058 (22599)
Invested
$34.47
Value
$41.18
PnL
+$6.71
Record
39%
5762-9001 (14763)
Invested
$32.71
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.29
Record
53%
1379-1231 (2610)
Invested
$10.52
Value
$13.2
PnL
+$2.68
Record
47%
11568-12989 (24557)
Invested
$2
Value
$4
PnL
+$2
Record
51%
37347-36602 (73949)
Invested
$1,013.6
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
50%
21060-21316 (42376)
Invested
$15.72
Value
—
PnL
-$15.72
Record
53%
23051-20286 (43337)
Invested
$38,703.28
Value
—
PnL
$-19.0K
Record
46%
37-43 (80)
claudionetotraderInvested
$244.64
Value
—
PnL
+$3.86
Record
55%
1378-1115 (2493)
Invested
$925.93
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
39%
24-38 (62)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
65%
5230-2848 (8078)
rayvanmechelenCTRInvested
$1,468.49
Value
—
PnL
-$778.3
Record
73%
2465-924 (3389)