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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | quietparcel | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (15524–15621, n=31145) | 41% (6783–9642, n=16425) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $3.1M | -$115K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #242 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (59 of 86 open) | 50% (64 of 127 open) | 85% (64 of 75 open) | 54% (31 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 2% (won 39% of 118) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 4% (won 60% of 198) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | quietparcel | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $8 | — | Over $1.2K |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | Diletta Cherubini $8 | — | Ipek Oz $678 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | — | Under $423 |
| South Carolina State vs. Howard opposite sides · consensus South Carolina State | — | South Carolina State $6 | — | Howard $347 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $115 | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $12K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | Yes $4 | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter same side · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | James Kent Trotter $5 | — | James Kent Trotter $10K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Canucks $170 | — | Canucks $1.2K |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Ivan Gakhov $204 | — | Ivan Gakhov $224 |
| Bruins vs. Penguins same side · consensus Penguins | — | Penguins $20 | — | Penguins $72 |