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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaripley86alienRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (885–467, n=1352)50% (15020–15050, n=30070)no settled market47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.0M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #56—PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (28 of 34 open)64% (94 of 146 open)no open consensus position55% (21 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%—94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)—10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)—22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)—36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)—32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaripley86alienRN1
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Oksana Selekhmeteva $6.4K—Polina Kudermetova $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $943
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $662
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Katie Boulter $62—Katie Boulter $26K
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Frances Tiafoe
—Quentin Halys $262—Quentin Halys $1.2K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $236—No $115
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $3—Otto Virtanen $105
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Deborah Chiesa $19—Deborah Chiesa $17