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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $650 | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #114 | was PM monthly #987 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #74 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 56% (79 of 141 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 32 at avg 50¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 100% (won 100% of 32) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $164 | Cowboys $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $273 | Cowboys $633 | — |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $270 | No $2 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $290 | Colts $6.9K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $108 | Browns $2.8K | — |
| Olympiacos Piraeus vs. PAOK Thessaloniki: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $103 | Over $285 | — |