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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | whosay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 59% (1123–796, n=1919) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$37K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #973 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (69 of 93 open) | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 54% (95 of 177 open) | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | Tennis −3 pts, n=699 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 11% (won 17% of 229) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 26% (won 36% of 541) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 28% (won 58% of 584) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 35% (won 88% of 722) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | whosay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | — | Iowa State $16K | Baylor $21K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | — | — | Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K | Casper Ruud $1.9K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.4K | — | Over $4.7K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $4.2K | LSU $39 | — |
| Spread: Delaware (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Delaware | — | Delaware $2.1K | Kennesaw State $1.6K | — |
| Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $405 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | — | Under $2.6K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K | Thiago Seyboth Wild $1.8K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K | Bianca Andreescu $536 |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.4K | Under $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Kansas (-2.5) same side · consensus UCF | — | UCF $1.9K | UCF $3 | — |