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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | qidao001 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 89% (1382–171, n=1553) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $10K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #966 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (74 of 100 open) | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 13% (won 5% of 20) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 38% (won 49% of 57) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 49% (won 67% of 73) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | qidao001 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $4.0K | Buccaneers $8 | Bears $10K |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $2.0K | Buccaneers $4 | Bears $5.4K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $22K | Buccaneers $46 | Buccaneers $16K |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $18 | Buccaneers $9.2K |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $25 | Buccaneers $2.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.8K | Buccaneers $4 | Buccaneers $3.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | Bears $3.5K | Bears $7 | Bears $378 |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $333 | Buccaneers $2 | Buccaneers $712 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $10 | Bears $20K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $19K | Over $38 | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | Over $15 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $88 | — | Buccaneers $4.6K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $24 | Over $652 |