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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
neymar1sainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)33% (355–716, n=1071)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$156K$4.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #414was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (10 of 18 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (73 of 99 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won82% of 454 at avg 37¢, ROI +48%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 66% of 146)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 87% of 207)50% (won 100% of 5)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 96% of 97)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 4)0%0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketneymar1sainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $472——Chiefs $465K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K——No $40K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $179——No $16K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $300——Yes $37K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $262——Yes $3.0K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $79——Yes $118