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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nigiri99BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (5854–7018, n=12872)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL-$409K$10.6M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #42PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus37% (40 of 108 open)91% (148 of 163 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnigiri99BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.0KYes $274K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $253K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $25KYes $172K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.5KNo $28K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.8KNo $202K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $18KNo $114K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $81K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.1KYes $85K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28KYes $31K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13KNo $25K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8.4KYes $29K—