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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaBreakTheBanksainttroplay00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$10.6M$4.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #27PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus57% (36 of 63 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 872)10% (won 85% of 53)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2312)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)0%
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 94% of 4141)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3484)20% (won 100% of 107)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaBreakTheBanksainttroplay00gringo00
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $687Chiefs $465K——
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $157Magic $24K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9KYes $272K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8KYes $77K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $116Yes $73K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.9KYes $28K——