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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pako | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (135–53, n=188) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $344K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #471 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (16 of 23 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 295 at avg 78¢, ROI +6% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 41) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 50% of 16) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 50% of 14) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 96% of 224) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pako | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |