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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pantomimeBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (850–683, n=1533)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$261K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #481 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)73% (73 of 100 open)no open consensus position47% (7 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=111———
Settled positions, side won51% of 1700 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 10% of 729)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 183)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 65% of 175)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 97% of 613)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpantomimeBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $771Yes $38K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7Yes $28K——