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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| para-Vision | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (213–159, n=372) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $521K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 56% (84 of 150 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −2 pts, n=93 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 358 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 51% of 96) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 60% of 239) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 86% of 21) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | para-Vision | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $7.4K | Lions $20K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $7.4K | Jets $4.1K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A same side · consensus Heroic | B8 $2.1K | — | B8 $20K | — |