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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
para-Visionbeachboy4RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)57% (213–159, n=372)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$521K$5.8M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #55was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)56% (84 of 150 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNHL −2 pts, n=93NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won59% of 358 at avg 55¢, ROI +10%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 51% of 96)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 60% of 239)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 86% of 21)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpara-Visionbeachboy4RN1CORGII
Vikings vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $7.4K—Lions $20K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $7.4K—Jets $4.1K—
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $2.1K——B8 $20K