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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23BreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$243K$10.6M$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus58% (22 of 38 open)73% (79 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1299)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3086)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4188)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23BreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $9Bills $378K——
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Steelers $10Browns $297K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Raiders $53Raiders $17K——