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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| perfectnostalgia | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (238–220, n=458) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) |
| Consensus PnL | $156K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (18 of 22 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Politics −4 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 591 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 14% of 245) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 42% of 97) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 61% of 49) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | perfectnostalgia | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | Yes $21K | — | — |