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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| perfectnostalgia | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (238–218, n=456) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $156K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Politics −4 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 589 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 14% of 244) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 43% of 96) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 61% of 49) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 98% of 200) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | perfectnostalgia | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | — | Yes $21K |