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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pieped | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (74–54, n=128) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #712 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (22 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (75 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 106 at avg 57¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 17% of 29) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 45% of 11) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 44% of 18) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 98% of 48) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pieped | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | No $444K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.9K | — | Yes $39K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.2K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | — | No $11K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | Yes $4.9K | — |