← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| plumbis | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (71–43, n=114) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (38 of 43 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 89 at avg 62¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 8% of 24) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 80% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 94% of 53) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | plumbis | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $300 | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40 | Yes $9.3K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $60 | Yes $5.7K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $60 | Yes $5.0K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16 | Yes $5.0K | — | — |