← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| primm | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (14389–14456, n=28845) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #181 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (13 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 8% (won 59% of 873) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 21% (won 86% of 2319) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 38% (won 94% of 4154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 99% of 3497) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $24K | — | Eagles $42 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272K | — | Yes $2.9K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $77K | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $72K | — | Yes $115 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $28K | — | Yes $2.8K |