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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)50% (985–968, n=1953)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (14415–14465, n=28880)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$13.4M$3.5M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #181PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)67% (14 of 21 open)no open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 93% of 43)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 366)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 433)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 41)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $527Over $678——
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $4—Raptors $308
Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $99—Under $9