Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)85% (5238–893, n=6131)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #671
Sides with the consensus60% (26 of 43 open)56% (109 of 193 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1youcanbuythisbot
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $4.2KEastern Michigan $2.0K—
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $4.2KSacramento State $765—
Spread: UMass (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
Ball State $2.8KUMass $1.2K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.0KUnder $242—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800—
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.8K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $797Over $2.1K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.5KUnder $3—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.5K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $597—
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Ball State $900UMass $663—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463—
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
Ball State $480UMass $457—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $243Sacramento State $462—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $142Sacramento State $211—
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $50—
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4—
Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $4.9KCentral Michigan $3.3K—
Spread: Ball State (-1.5)
same side · consensus UMass
UMass $3.1KUMass $1.1K—
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
UMass $3.0KUMass $804—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.6KOver $179—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3KOver $211—
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
Toledo $1.5KToledo $377—
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
Toledo $438Toledo $773—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $540Under $429—
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
Toledo $176Toledo $429—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $182Under $11—