Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmsainttroplayBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)50% (945–947, n=1892)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (535–643, n=1178)50% (14325–14411, n=28736)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$4.4M$10.6M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #181was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position72% (83 of 116 open)47% (14 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 93% of 43)0%10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 366)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 433)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 41)0%20% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmsainttroplayBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $23KEagles $45
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7——Under $326
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $77KYes $2.0K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $72KYes $158
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $36KYes $42
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $15K——Broncos $711