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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qwen300.fund | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2599–4019, n=6618) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $239K | $10.6M | $3.2M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 98% (167 of 171 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qwen300.fund | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $5.0K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $5.0K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $723 | — | — |