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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| qwen300.fund | surfandturf | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2614–4022, n=6636) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $240K | $4.1M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (179 of 193 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 90% (149 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qwen300.fund | surfandturf | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | Yes $728 |