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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| retarb | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (3623–3991, n=7614) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $237K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #925 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −9 pts, n=21 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 3047 at avg 50¢, ROI +11% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 19% of 771) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 53% of 698) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 77% of 758) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 92% of 820) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | retarb | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $8.5K | — | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $188K | Commanders $3.9K |