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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
rocroiRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)66% (29–15, n=44)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$149K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #470PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)55% (68 of 123 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 23% of 13)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 67% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 67% of 12)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketrocroiRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12K—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28K—Bills $378K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18K—Bills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228—Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161—Magic $13K