← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (71 of 95 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 53% (26 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 8% (won 59% of 873) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 21% (won 86% of 2319) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 38% (won 94% of 4154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 32% (won 99% of 3497) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272K | — | Yes $2.9K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $77K | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $73K | — | Yes $158 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $37K | — | Yes $45 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $28K | — | Yes $2.9K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | Shunsuke Mitsui $452 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $30 | Under $160 |