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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sbimbg | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (3048–1271, n=4319) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (47 of 86 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=73 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 3987 at avg 72¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 18% of 452) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 294) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 68% of 683) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 95% of 2558) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sbimbg | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | No $411K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $277 | — | No $590 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $745 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $11K | — |