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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sciuboi | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (157–155, n=312) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $245K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #455 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 332 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 3% of 125) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 52% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 84% of 50) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 95% of 128) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sciuboi | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $66K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $77K | — | — |