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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sciuboi | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (162–155, n=317) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $245K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #455 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 88% (131 of 149 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 332 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 3% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 52% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 84% of 50) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 95% of 128) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sciuboi | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $66K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.9K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | Yes $13 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | No $118K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | No $42K | — |