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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| segment3 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #832 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (13 of 17 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 15 at avg 82¢, ROI −7% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 0% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 50% of 2) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 100% of 12) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | segment3 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $762 | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $32K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $170K | — | — |