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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
shovelingdiggingCORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)63% (339–200, n=539)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$53K$4.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #928PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (72 of 97 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −24 pts, n=20——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won59% of 594 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 15% of 116)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 142)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 69% of 160)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 89% of 176)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketshovelingdiggingCORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $198—Chiefs $465K—