← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sinasinner | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (37–44, n=81) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | -$366K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #353 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 44 at avg 45¢, ROI +21% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 81% of 16) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 91% of 22) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sinasinner | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $37K | — | — | Over $664 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $29K | — | — | Commanders $1.5K |