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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| solwizzo-onX | RN1 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (290–138, n=428) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=28 | — | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 460 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 7% of 166) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 49% of 43) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 77% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 95% of 204) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | solwizzo-onX | RN1 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $194 | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35 | — | Yes $230 | — |