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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| studmuffin6969 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (607–415, n=1022) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $129K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (43 of 51 open) | 76% (76 of 100 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Culture −18 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 1341 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 8% of 323) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 43% of 99) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 60% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 96% of 786) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | studmuffin6969 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | Yes $1.4K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | Yes $171K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $540 | Yes $17K | — | — |