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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (2345–1979, n=4324) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (14 of 31 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Warriors $147 | — | — | Clippers $14 |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $5 | — | — | Lakers $11 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $433 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $2.6K | — | — | Eagles $27 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $26 | — | — | Over $678 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | — | Over $259 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Raptors $4 | — | — | Raptors $4 |