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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | RN1 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (2345–1980, n=4325) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (30 of 46 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | RN1 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $42K | Commanders $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $1.8K | Commanders $2.1K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $20 | Over $491 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $11 | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $24 | Commanders $23 | — | — |