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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2310–1925, n=4235) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (23 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (32 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $205 | — | — | Cardinals $11K |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $117 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $86 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $1.0K | — | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $48 | — | — | Celtics $3 |