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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| timebrotime | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (528–228, n=756) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $58K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #720 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (30 of 35 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 1005 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 15% of 55) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 54) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 62% of 352) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 89% of 544) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | timebrotime | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $836 | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | — | No $35K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |