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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tradecraft | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2371–2607, n=4978) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $962K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 60% (27 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2593 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 11% of 791) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 47% of 452) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 78% of 484) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 96% of 866) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tradecraft | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $81 | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite same side · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $9 | — | — | Wilson Leite $12K |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $30 | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $24 | — | — | No $2.2K |
| Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $71 |