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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| troim | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (290–530, n=820) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (28 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (56 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 33% of 234) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 77% of 97) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 90% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 96% of 105) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | troim | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | No $554K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | No $250K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.8K | — | Yes $36K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $45K |